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Are You Winning? Big longshots, huge exacta and trifecta payoffs – You missed out again! - How is this possible? Are speed and class figures the only answer? Was it the class drops, workouts or drugs? Does the Jockey or Trainer know something you don’t? More likely its because most handicappers are using YESTERDAYS NEWS to handicap TODAY’S RACES! They are missing out on the READY horses altogether. Their information is STALE ! Take off your Blindfolds! |
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More Handicapping Articles HERE |
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Search Joe’s Website
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Read Joe Takach’s The Immutable Laws of Handicapping series |
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BEAT THE BEAM Nearly every handicapper who embraces “physicality” handicapping will tell you that in today’s game of short fields and short prices, they couldn’t possibly wager on a horse without looking at him. Visual inspection has become an essential “edge” in their wagering! This includes the legions of players forced to wager via satellite at an off track simulcast outlet. Those of you who have a copy of my 90 minute video BEAT THE BEAM, know that physicality handicapping via the beam is not only possible, it’s very profitable if you are willing to put in a small amount of extra effort that’s returned to you many times over. |
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BETTOR KEEP TRACK Think about this question: What is more important to success at the track - good handicapping or good betting? When a well-known handicapping expert
was asked this, he replied that handicapping is about 40% of it, while betting is 60% or more. That's right - betting and money management are more
important than handicapping. Yet most handicappers probably spend no more than 5% of their time on record-keeping, money management and betting skills.
More than any other handicapping skill, the ability to keep a record of your betting and use it to analyze your own strengths and weaknesses as a bettor will help you make money at the track. Not pace handicapping. Not energy distribution. Not trainer stats. Not speed figures. Not pedigree. Not voodoo astrological numerology. RECORDING AND ANALYZING YOUR BETS. Without keeping records, how can you possibly know what you're good at? How can you know where you're throwing away your money when you bet? You can't! In some situations (and believe me, you'll be surprised where you find them in your own betting records) you might as well just tear up your tickets before the race - they're almost certain to be worthless. BETTOR KEEP TRACK will point out your weak spots like a neon sign. As Ben Franklin would have said if he were a horseplayer, "A wager saved is a wager earned." Especially when you're counting your money at the end of the day. Do you use different handicapping procedures in different races? When you generate your reports, you can filter out only those bets. You can also query your betting records for any number of different factors. If you want to see how you've done at 7 furlong sprints, it's a snap. What if you like to research new methods? With BETTOR KEEP TRACK you have the choice of reporting on real bets, "imaginary bets," or both. When you're testing a method, just enter it as an imaginary bet. If you want to see how your research is going, choose imaginary bets and you're all set. BETTOR KEEP TRACK offers almost 40 reports on all aspects of your betting. There are "programmed reports" that focus on each type of bet, from win bets to trifectas to pick-sixes. There are "quick lists" which list all your bets of a given type. There are "day-by-day reports" which track your performance on a daily basis. And there are "portfolio reports" which look at each "portfolio" you've created through your use of key words. Packed with new metrics like "geometric mean" (which measures the profitability of each bet) and "RollX" (which estimates the profitability of each bet over time), you can easily compare one betting situation to another. BETTOR KEEP TRACK is your foundation for successful racetrack betting. Not only does it provide a simple method for storing your bets, it provides an x-ray view of your betting. Stay on top of the current meet. Research your betting records by filtering so you only look at the bets you're interested in. Test new methods. Avoid areas of financial quicksand you weren't even aware existed. Find new areas of profitability. Make more money at the track with BETTOR KEEP TRACK. "It is so much easier to... have a program which can do some extremely deep calculations and give me information on a myriad of profitable and not-so -profitable categories. Well worth the money." WJB "A great product. If you take the time to input the required data, the information this product will provide you will pay for the program many times over." RB "Just what I've saved on the reams of notebook paper I go through testing 'systems' is worth it." RG (Requires Windows operating system.) FIGLINE
The FIGLINE mini-application was created to satisfy requests from a number of handicappers. They wanted a simple program that would allow them to put
in their own figures, press a button, and get an accurate betting line. That's just what FIGLINE does.
FIGLINE uses a random number generator function, as suggested by
handicapper Brian Leonhart. It internally runs 10,000 simulations using the figures you input for each horse. It then tracks how often each horse "wins,"
given the figure you assigned to it. Assuming there is a normal distribution around each horse's figure, it is often true (using FIGLINE as well as at the
racetrack) that a horse with the lowest figure will sometimes win. The program estimates each horse's chances of winning given its figs. It then assigns fair odds and bet odds to each horse.
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