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Ed Bain's book "The 4+30"
This book explains how Ed uses his 4 + 30 statistics to make a living as a professional horseplayer.
The name of my book is "The 4 + 30" which is the statistic that I bet on.
It means this trainer has produced at least four wins or more plus a 30 percent-hit rate or higher (the 4 + 30) on this trainers' specialty move. This book has eleven chapters including one on automatics as well as
filters which is a way of reducing a group of bets to a higher percentage play. The book also tells of the journey I traveled to get to today's style
of betting. The 4 + 30 makes a case for trainer stats which is a common sense approach to percentages and the odds board. When you have a known hit rate you can measure fair odds and payout. Without a known
hit rate, odds and payout cannot be evaluated objectively. The reason is racing is not a game of chance, like dice where the last sequence of throws conveys absolutely no information about what the next throw will
bring. The 4 + 30 is about percentages and profitability. This book is about statistics. Numerical data assembled and classified to present significant information.
Chapter I - Lock and Load
Chapter II - Lite the Fuse
Chapter III - Discipline
Chapter IV - Numbers
Chapter V - Circuits
Chapter VI - Odds
Chapter VII - Filters
Chapter VIII - Betting Menu
Chapter IX - Betting the 4 + 30
Chapter X - Automatics
Chapter XI - The Platform
"For several years now I've been referring to Ed Bain as a model of a
successful horseplayer. I'm not sure how many folks have taken me seriously. It's not easy to accept what Ed stands for. We might have to change our ways as handicappers and we would surely have to examine
the way we conduct ourselves from the standpoint of discipline. I am honored to write this preface, for Ed Bain has achieved something that I know from personal experience is not an easy feat: He makes his living
from profits derived from betting on the horses.” Mark Cramer, Author
"Whoever said; You can beat a race, but you can't beat the races never
met Ed Bain. I have and he does. Using a combination of carefully compiled statistics, a knowledge of pedigree, and a very strict discipline, Ed has established himself as a serious player among thoroughbred racing
professionals." Lee Tomlinson, Mudders & Turfers.
In a game with a high degree of difficulty, Ed Bain has created simplicity.
The 4 + 30 is one of the few truly objective approaches to playing the races for profit." Steve Fierro, Race Day USA
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Ed Bain's Debut Trainers
The report Ed Bain's Debut Trainers is available for all subscribers to Ed Bain's Layoffs and Claims. This report provides trainer statistics for 1st,
2nd, 3rd, and 4th time starters in maiden races, divided as usual by sprints and routes. This report is available at no additional charge; it comes as part of your regular monthly subscription.
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Fans of Ed Bain's methods of professional horseplaying will want to
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